How to Get Rich (without getting lucky)

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I love reading Naval Ravikant and listening to his podcast appearances.

How to Get Rich (without getting lucky)

Specific knowledge is knowledge that you cannot be trained for. If society can train you, it can train someone else, and replace you.

Specific knowledge is found by pursuing your genuine curiosity and passion rather than whatever is hot right now.

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Conspiracy Theorists

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Conspiracy Theorists Aren’t Really Skeptics:

Conspiracy believers are the ultimate motivated skeptics. Their curse is that they apply this selective scrutiny not to the left or right, but to the mainstream. They tell themselves that they’re the ones who see the lies, and the rest of us are sheep. But believing that everybody’s lying is just another kind of gullibility.

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NCAA Picks

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This is an experiment to see which prediction source accumulates the most points using a standard scoring system.
* The highest possible score is 1,920 points. Each of the 6 rounds has a max possible score of 320 points.

There are three groups of test subjects:
Predictions generated by automated algorithms, predictions generated by experts, and predictions generated by guessing.

Source 2017 2018 2019 2021 2022
538 960 780 960
Poologic-LRMCP 1140 1120 930
Poologic-Original 1090 1080 960
Poologic-Sagarin 1120 1070 940
Poologic- Vegas 1410 1080 650
Power Rank 940 1110 1250
BetLab 940 780
Jay Bilas 1130 640 730
Neil Greenberg 1390 410 880
Jay Williams 760
Howard Megdal 660 -
KenPom 1080 1100 1260
Dick Vitale - 590
ESPN Auto Generated 650 810 1250
Bing Predicts 820 670 720
Public Consensus 770
Karnik Spreadsheet - 510 1190
Pure Guessing/Jessicca 600 1030 390
3 Point Percentage 1210
Seth Greenberg 900

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